By – Khairi Janbek:
One must point out here that, it was not only the identity of the hegemonic triangle being non-Arab, but also their world put was secular.
In this context, the ebb and flow in the relations between the West and Iran, obscured the logic of whether the West was actually aiming at rehabilitating Iran (Shiism being no danger as a minority sect within Islam) in order to facilitate its ascendance again to reclaim the legacy of the Shah as the third angle of the triangle, or, it actually did intend to replace Iran as the third angle.
The opportunity did not go amiss for Sadat’s Egypt as a possible replacement for Iran. But in order to assume this position, late Sadat realised that , no Arab country with the world view it holds could ever be accepted as a bona fide replacement for Iran, and he ended up paying the price with his life , and by and by, Saddam in his own criminal way also attempted the same approach and ended up on the gallows for different reasons.
In the case of late Sadat, in order to qualify Egypt in the eyes of the West as a replacement for Iran, he struck out a peace deal with Israel, distancing his country from the Arab world, opened up the economy to market forces, distanced himself from the Soviet Union , put himself in the western camp totally, and launched a war against moderate and extremist Islamists alike.
At the same time, Iran, was still considering itself as the legitimate heir to the Shah’s regional legacy and did not cease from trying to present itself as such. Consequently if we look closely, the war of liberation of Kuwait took place with its full consent, so did the invasions of Afghanistan as well as Iraq. It took up the position of convergence rather than of contradiction with the NATO countries.
Moreover currently, its attempts to develop its nuclear programme, military industry, and the extension of its power in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Palestine, Lebanon and Yemen is already placing it as the de facto third angle of the hegemonic triangle of the Middle East.
At this point though, one finds necessary to ask the question of whether as the French adage goes ‘ Everything has changed so that nothing changes’ ?; in other words , is the aim of the western powers to rehabilitate Iran again, or, is it indeed that the world has changed to the extent that, and Arab country will be permitted to assume the third angle of the hegemony triangle of the Middle East.
One must say that, one has in mind Saudi Arabia; the only Arab country in a position to replace Iran as the powerful third angle. Still, irrespective of how Saudi Arabia perceives itself, or the manner in which it is being perceived by the West, the rope which it has to walk on is very tight, and one can only make conjectures about the Saudi prospects in this triangle from changes which the Saudi leadership is trying to implement in the outlook to the country and which are very clear for all to see.
Ultimately, one cannot say, whether Saudi Arabia is being seriously considered as a replacement for Iran, or consciously, or worse, unc